Month: June 2025
MMS • RSS
MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB) a database management company, is scheduled to report its earnings on Wednesday, June 4, 2025. Historically, MDB stock has reacted negatively to earnings announcements, with a one-day decline in 55% of instances over the past five years. The median drop has been 10%, with a maximum single-day loss of 26.9%.
For event-driven traders, understanding these historical patterns can be advantageous. There are two primary strategies: either position yourself before the earnings release based on historical odds, or analyze the correlation between immediate and medium-term returns after the release to inform your subsequent moves.
Consensus estimates project earnings of $0.66 per share on revenues of $527.5 million. This compares to $0.51 per share on sales of $450.6 million in the year-ago quarter. Fundamentally, MongoDB has a current market capitalization of $15 billion, with $2.0 billion in revenue over the last twelve months. However, the company reported an operating loss of $216 million and a net loss of $129 million during the same period. That said, if you seek upside with lower volatility than individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio presents an alternative – having outperformed the S&P 500 and generated returns exceeding 91% since its inception. Separately, see – Merck Stock’s Ticking Keytruda Time Bomb.
See earnings reaction history of all stocks
MDB Stock Historical Odds Of Positive Post-Earnings Return
Some observations on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns:
- There are 20 earnings data points recorded over the last five years, with 9 positive and 11 negative one-day (1D) returns observed. In summary, positive 1D returns were seen about 45% of the time.
- However, this percentage decreases to 36% if we consider data for the last 3 years instead of 5.
- Median of the 9 positive returns = 19%, and median of the 11 negative returns = -10%
Additional data for observed 5-Day (5D), and 21-Day (21D) returns post earnings are summarized along with the statistics in the table below.
MDB 1D, 5D, and 21D Post-Earnings Return
Trefis
MDB Stock Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns
A relatively less risky strategy (though not useful if the correlation is low) is to understand the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post earnings, find a pair that has the highest correlation, and execute the appropriate trade. For example, if 1D and 5D show the highest correlation, a trader can position themselves “long” for the next 5 days if 1D post-earnings return is positive. Here is some correlation data based on 5-year and 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D refers to the correlation between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns.
MDB Correlation Between 1D, 5D and 21D Historical Returns
Trefis
Learn more about Trefis RV strategy that has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (combination of all 3, the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), to produce strong returns for investors. Separately, if you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock like MongoDB, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P, and clocked >91% returns since inception.
MMS • RSS
Bourgeon Capital Management LLC purchased a new position in shares of MongoDB, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDB – Free Report) during the 1st quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The firm purchased 40,060 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $7,027,000. MongoDB makes up about 1.5% of Bourgeon Capital Management LLC’s portfolio, making the stock its 29th biggest holding.
A number of other hedge funds have also recently made changes to their positions in MDB. Strategic Investment Solutions Inc. IL bought a new position in MongoDB during the 4th quarter worth approximately $29,000. NCP Inc. purchased a new stake in shares of MongoDB during the fourth quarter valued at approximately $35,000. Coppell Advisory Solutions LLC grew its holdings in shares of MongoDB by 364.0% in the fourth quarter. Coppell Advisory Solutions LLC now owns 232 shares of the company’s stock worth $54,000 after purchasing an additional 182 shares during the last quarter. Smartleaf Asset Management LLC increased its stake in shares of MongoDB by 56.8% in the fourth quarter. Smartleaf Asset Management LLC now owns 370 shares of the company’s stock worth $87,000 after buying an additional 134 shares during the period. Finally, Manchester Capital Management LLC raised its holdings in MongoDB by 57.4% during the 4th quarter. Manchester Capital Management LLC now owns 384 shares of the company’s stock valued at $89,000 after buying an additional 140 shares during the last quarter. 89.29% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.
Insider Activity at MongoDB
In related news, insider Cedric Pech sold 1,690 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Wednesday, April 2nd. The shares were sold at an average price of $173.26, for a total value of $292,809.40. Following the sale, the insider now owns 57,634 shares in the company, valued at approximately $9,985,666.84. This trade represents a 2.85% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which can be accessed through the SEC website. Also, Director Hope F. Cochran sold 1,175 shares of the stock in a transaction on Tuesday, April 1st. The shares were sold at an average price of $174.69, for a total value of $205,260.75. Following the transaction, the director now directly owns 19,333 shares in the company, valued at $3,377,281.77. The trade was a 5.73% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The disclosure for this sale can be found here. In the last three months, insiders have sold 22,203 shares of company stock valued at $3,848,569. 3.60% of the stock is owned by corporate insiders.
Analysts Set New Price Targets
A number of brokerages have issued reports on MDB. Barclays cut their price target on shares of MongoDB from $280.00 to $252.00 and set an “overweight” rating on the stock in a report on Friday, May 16th. Wells Fargo & Company cut MongoDB from an “overweight” rating to an “equal weight” rating and cut their target price for the stock from $365.00 to $225.00 in a research note on Thursday, March 6th. Cantor Fitzgerald initiated coverage on MongoDB in a research report on Wednesday, March 5th. They set an “overweight” rating and a $344.00 price target for the company. Canaccord Genuity Group dropped their price objective on MongoDB from $385.00 to $320.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Thursday, March 6th. Finally, Monness Crespi & Hardt raised MongoDB from a “sell” rating to a “neutral” rating in a research note on Monday, March 3rd. Nine investment analysts have rated the stock with a hold rating, twenty-three have assigned a buy rating and one has given a strong buy rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat, MongoDB has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $286.88.
Check Out Our Latest Report on MDB
MongoDB Price Performance
Shares of NASDAQ:MDB opened at $193.00 on Tuesday. The business has a fifty day moving average price of $174.12 and a 200-day moving average price of $231.29. The company has a market capitalization of $15.67 billion, a PE ratio of -70.44 and a beta of 1.49. MongoDB, Inc. has a 1-year low of $140.78 and a 1-year high of $370.00.
MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB – Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, March 5th. The company reported $0.19 earnings per share for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.64 by ($0.45). The firm had revenue of $548.40 million for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $519.65 million. MongoDB had a negative net margin of 10.46% and a negative return on equity of 12.22%. During the same quarter in the prior year, the business posted $0.86 earnings per share. On average, sell-side analysts anticipate that MongoDB, Inc. will post -1.78 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
About MongoDB
MongoDB, Inc, together with its subsidiaries, provides general purpose database platform worldwide. The company provides MongoDB Atlas, a hosted multi-cloud database-as-a-service solution; MongoDB Enterprise Advanced, a commercial database server for enterprise customers to run in the cloud, on-premises, or in a hybrid environment; and Community Server, a free-to-download version of its database, which includes the functionality that developers need to get started with MongoDB.
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Want to see what other hedge funds are holding MDB? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for MongoDB, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDB – Free Report).
This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate reporting. This story was reviewed by MarketBeat’s editorial team prior to publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to contact@marketbeat.com.
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MMS • RSS
Jun 3, 2025
As MongoDB (MDB) prepares to announce its quarterly earnings, investors are keenly watching the database software company’s performance metrics. According to a report, MongoDB surpassed analysts’ revenue expectations by 5.6% in the previous quarter, achieving revenues of $548.4 million, marking a 19.7% increase from the previous year. The company also added 82 enterprise customers, each contributing over $100,000 annually, bringing the total to 2,396.
This quarter, analysts anticipate a 17.1% year-on-year revenue growth for MongoDB, projecting revenues of $527.5 million. This reflects a deceleration from the 22.3% growth observed in the same quarter last year. Adjusted earnings per share are expected to be $0.66. Over the past two years, MongoDB has missed Wall Street’s revenue estimates on two occasions, adding an element of uncertainty to the upcoming announcement.
Comparatively, MongoDB’s peers in the data storage sector have shown robust results. Commvault Systems reported a 23.2% increase in revenue, surpassing expectations by 4.8%, while Snowflake recorded a 25.7% rise in revenues, exceeding forecasts by 3.4%. In response, Snowflake’s stock surged 13.5%, though Commvault’s remained stable.
Overall, the data storage segment has experienced a positive trend, with average share prices rising by 7.9% over the last month. MongoDB itself has seen an 11.6% increase in its share price during this period, and it currently holds an average analyst price target of $252.34, compared to its present share price of $192.98.
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1. INTRODUCTION
Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business
- REPORT DESCRIPTION
- RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND THE AI PLATFORM
- DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
- GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
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2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A Quick Overview of Market Performance
- KEY FINDINGS
- MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional EditionPRO
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3. MARKET OVERVIEW
Understanding the Current State of The Market and its Prospects
- MARKET SIZE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- MARKET FORECAST TO 2035
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4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCTS FOR DIVERSIFICATION
Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business
- TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
- BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
- MOST CONSUMED PRODUCTS
- MOST TRADED PRODUCTS
- MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCTS FOR EXPORT
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5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES
Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain
- TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
- TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
- TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
- LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
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6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS
Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Export
- TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
- TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
- UNSATURATED MARKETS
- TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
- MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
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7. PRODUCTION
The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry
- PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
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8. IMPORTS
The Largest Import Supplying Countries
- IMPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- IMPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
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9. EXPORTS
The Largest Destinations for Exports
- EXPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- EXPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
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10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS
The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles
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11. COUNTRY PROFILES
The Largest Markets And Their Profiles
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition
PRO- United States
- China
- Japan
- Germany
- United Kingdom
- France
- Brazil
- Italy
- Russian Federation
- India
- Canada
- Australia
- Republic of Korea
- Spain
- Mexico
- Indonesia
- Netherlands
- Turkey
- Saudi Arabia
- Switzerland
- Sweden
- Nigeria
- Poland
- Belgium
- Argentina
- Norway
- Austria
- Thailand
- United Arab Emirates
- Colombia
- Denmark
- South Africa
- Malaysia
- Israel
- Singapore
- Egypt
- Philippines
- Finland
- Chile
- Ireland
- Pakistan
- Greece
- Portugal
- Kazakhstan
- Algeria
- Czech Republic
- Qatar
- Peru
- Romania
- Vietnam
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LIST OF TABLES
- Key Findings In 2024
- Market Volume, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Market Value: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Per Capita Consumption, by Country, 2022–2024
- Production, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, In Value Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Import Prices, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Exports, In Value Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Export Prices, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
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LIST OF FIGURES
- Market Volume, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Market Value: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Consumption, by Country, 2024
- Market Volume Forecast to 2035
- Market Value Forecast to 2035
- Market Size and Growth, By Product
- Average Per Capita Consumption, By Product
- Exports and Growth, By Product
- Export Prices and Growth, By Product
- Production Volume and Growth
- Exports and Growth
- Export Prices and Growth
- Market Size and Growth
- Per Capita Consumption
- Imports and Growth
- Import Prices
- Production, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Production, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Production, by Country, 2024
- Production, In Physical Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2024
- Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, In Value Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Import Prices, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Exports, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Exports, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2024
- Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Exports, In Value Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Export Prices, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
MMS • Matt Foster
Have I Been Pwned (HIBP)– the popular data breach notification service founded by security researcher Troy Hunt, has launched a major front-end redesign aimed at improving breach visibility and laying the groundwork for future capabilities. In an interview with InfoQ, Hunt highlighted automation, family account enrollment, and improved enterprise workflows as immediate next steps, while calling for stronger breach disclosure norms across the industry.
The update introduces a modernized user experience and several new pages focused on helping both individuals and organizations more easily monitor exposed credentials and domains.
Hunt emphasizes that the update was not merely a technical overhaul but a response to the evolving needs of the user base. He mentions that after interacting with users worldwide, a recurring theme emerged: the desire for HIBP to be more approachable and user-friendly.
Hunt says the rebuild also lays the groundwork for future capabilities – including support for passkeys and delegated account management that reflect emerging security trends and real-world usage patterns. One example he cites is the ability to enroll family members’ email addresses, aimed at users who act as informal tech support for others.
The version 2.0 update introduces several new front-end features aimed at improving usability and situational awareness. The redesigned Search page offers faster response times and a cleaner layout, while a new Breach page (below) provides a clearer breakdown of breach details.
Source: troyhunt.com
The new dashboard page (below) consolidates a user’s monitored email addresses and domain results into a single view, providing persistent visibility into breach activity without requiring a new search each time.
Source: troyhunt.com
Paying subscribers who manage and monitor multiple domains can view who within their organization has been impacted using the overhauled domain search experience.
Furthermore, Hunt discusses the rationale behind specific, smaller changes, such as the removal of username and phone number search support from the website. He explains that these features were initially introduced for specific incidents but were rarely utilized thereafter. The decision to remove them was based on factors like parsing difficulties, notification limitations, and user confusion.
With growing demand from both individuals and organizations – including those managing large sets of users and domains – automation, visibility, and responsible disclosure are seen as ongoing priorities for the application. InfoQ reached out to Troy Hunt to learn more about the motivations behind the release and where he sees HIBP evolving next.
InfoQ: Do you see HIBP evolving as authentication shifts toward passkeys, federated identity, and AI-driven security tooling?
Troy Hunt: These are all great steps forward, but don’t really change the likelihood of data breaches occurring. They do change the impact of them (i.e. passkeys instead of passwords means no reuse and account takeover due to a leaked password), but it won’t stop all your other PII from being exposed.
InfoQ: Now that the release is live, what capabilities or use cases are you most excited to explore next?
Hunt: This is going to sound really boring, but the next priority is to automate requests that we’re currently manually processing – namely enabling resellers to manage their customers and allowing our Director customers to create quotes without raising tickets for us. This has been a bit of an unfortunate reality with running a service that now has paying customers where we need to help them navigate corporate compliance and procurement regimes, and we want to delegate that work away to automated processes as fast as possible. I’m genuinely excited about now adding features such as the ability to enroll family members’ email addresses for people like me who play tech support for everyone else.
InfoQ: In your view, what areas of breach notification or data protection remain underserved and what innovations might we see in the next few years?
Hunt: This is a massive one for me and I’ve literally been travelling the world talking to governments and law enforcement agencies about this: Disclosure. So often, data breach victims simply aren’t told about their exposure and usually, that’s a completely legal position for the company to take. I wrote about it in depth in September: The Data Breach Disclosure Conundrum.
MMS • RSS
Mackenzie Financial Corp grew its holdings in MongoDB, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDB – Free Report) by 47.8% in the 4th quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the SEC. The institutional investor owned 5,731 shares of the company’s stock after acquiring an additional 1,854 shares during the quarter. Mackenzie Financial Corp’s holdings in MongoDB were worth $1,334,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.
Other institutional investors have also recently modified their holdings of the company. HighTower Advisors LLC increased its position in shares of MongoDB by 2.0% in the fourth quarter. HighTower Advisors LLC now owns 18,773 shares of the company’s stock valued at $4,371,000 after buying an additional 372 shares in the last quarter. Jones Financial Companies Lllp lifted its stake in shares of MongoDB by 68.0% in the 4th quarter. Jones Financial Companies Lllp now owns 1,020 shares of the company’s stock valued at $237,000 after purchasing an additional 413 shares during the last quarter. Smartleaf Asset Management LLC lifted its stake in shares of MongoDB by 56.8% in the 4th quarter. Smartleaf Asset Management LLC now owns 370 shares of the company’s stock valued at $87,000 after purchasing an additional 134 shares during the last quarter. Clear Creek Financial Management LLC acquired a new position in shares of MongoDB in the 4th quarter valued at $295,000. Finally, Steward Partners Investment Advisory LLC raised its holdings in shares of MongoDB by 12.9% in the 4th quarter. Steward Partners Investment Advisory LLC now owns 1,168 shares of the company’s stock valued at $272,000 after buying an additional 133 shares during the period. 89.29% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.
Insider Buying and Selling at MongoDB
In other news, insider Cedric Pech sold 1,690 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, April 2nd. The stock was sold at an average price of $173.26, for a total transaction of $292,809.40. Following the completion of the transaction, the insider now directly owns 57,634 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $9,985,666.84. This represents a 2.85% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available at this hyperlink. Also, CFO Srdjan Tanjga sold 525 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, April 2nd. The stock was sold at an average price of $173.26, for a total value of $90,961.50. Following the sale, the chief financial officer now owns 6,406 shares in the company, valued at $1,109,903.56. The trade was a 7.57% decrease in their position. The disclosure for this sale can be found here. Insiders have sold 25,203 shares of company stock valued at $4,660,459 in the last 90 days. 3.60% of the stock is currently owned by insiders.
MongoDB Price Performance
MongoDB stock traded down $2.24 during mid-day trading on Friday, hitting $187.12. The company’s stock had a trading volume of 2,627,437 shares, compared to its average volume of 1,891,587. The firm’s 50 day moving average is $174.13 and its 200 day moving average is $231.89. The company has a market cap of $15.19 billion, a PE ratio of -68.29 and a beta of 1.49. MongoDB, Inc. has a 52-week low of $140.78 and a 52-week high of $370.00.
MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB – Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings results on Wednesday, March 5th. The company reported $0.19 earnings per share for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.64 by ($0.45). The firm had revenue of $548.40 million for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $519.65 million. MongoDB had a negative return on equity of 12.22% and a negative net margin of 10.46%. During the same period last year, the business earned $0.86 earnings per share. As a group, analysts forecast that MongoDB, Inc. will post -1.78 EPS for the current year.
Analysts Set New Price Targets
Several equities research analysts recently issued reports on MDB shares. Morgan Stanley cut their price objective on MongoDB from $315.00 to $235.00 and set an “overweight” rating on the stock in a report on Wednesday, April 16th. Mizuho cut their price target on MongoDB from $250.00 to $190.00 and set a “neutral” rating on the stock in a report on Tuesday, April 15th. Loop Capital downgraded MongoDB from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating and cut their price target for the stock from $350.00 to $190.00 in a report on Tuesday, May 20th. The Goldman Sachs Group lowered their price objective on MongoDB from $390.00 to $335.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research report on Thursday, March 6th. Finally, Wedbush lowered their price objective on MongoDB from $360.00 to $300.00 and set an “outperform” rating for the company in a research report on Thursday, March 6th. Nine equities research analysts have rated the stock with a hold rating, twenty-three have given a buy rating and one has assigned a strong buy rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat, the stock presently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus target price of $286.88.
View Our Latest Stock Analysis on MongoDB
About MongoDB
MongoDB, Inc, together with its subsidiaries, provides general purpose database platform worldwide. The company provides MongoDB Atlas, a hosted multi-cloud database-as-a-service solution; MongoDB Enterprise Advanced, a commercial database server for enterprise customers to run in the cloud, on-premises, or in a hybrid environment; and Community Server, a free-to-download version of its database, which includes the functionality that developers need to get started with MongoDB.
Read More
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While MongoDB currently has a Moderate Buy rating among analysts, top-rated analysts believe these five stocks are better buys.
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MMS • Bruno Couriol
At its Build 2025 conference, Microsoft announced plans to open source over the next few months the code behind the GitHub Copilot Chat extension under the MIT license and refactor core AI capabilities directly into the main VS Code codebase. The move, if completed, may affect the ability of current for-pay AI code editors to compete purely on features.
Microsoft cited several reasons for open-sourcing Copilot Chat. They noted the significant advancements in large language models, which have reduced the need for and value of proprietary prompting strategies. In fact, the company Anthropic regularly releases the system prompts for its Claude models. Keeping prompts secret for long remains a challenging endeavor in the face of community-led transparency efforts. AI prompts can additionally be protected by copyright only under certain restrictive circumstances. The same applies to patenting.
Microsoft’s open-sourcing decision also addresses requests from extension authors who needed tighter integration into VS Code than is currently offered by the public extension APIs. The Copilot Chat extension utilised VSCode’s Proposed APIs, a set of unstable APIs implemented in VS Code but not exposed to the public as stable. Regular extension authors, on the other hand, were not able to publish extensions using the Proposed APIs on the Visual Studio Code Marketplace.
The alternative was, as Cursor, Windsurf, et. al. did, to fork Visual Studio Code. As those forks grew in popularity and raised a significant amount of venture capital, Microsoft started to enforce its extension marketplace rules so that forks like Cursor could no longer fetch Microsoft-licensed extensions (e.g., C/C++ extension). By moving the Copilot Chat extension to an MIT license, with its core features integrated into the VS Code core, Microsoft may severely restrict the ability of forks with limited software development teams to compete purely on features against the broader community of extension authors.
Microsoft also quoted the need for increased transparency regarding data collection and improved community-driven security as driving factors for open-sourcing the extension.
This initiative positions VS Code to evolve beyond supporting AI extensions to becoming an “AI-native editor” by default.
Initial developer reactions on platforms like Reddit and Hacker News have shown general approval for the open-sourcing. Discussions often focus on the potential for integrating local AI models, the impact on the competitive editor landscape, and the potential for community contributions to the core AI features. The move is largely seen as a positive step for transparency and the broader developer tools ecosystem.
Visual Studio Code’s product manager chimed in on Reddit:
(vscode pm here)
We do want to open-source the Github Copilot suggestion functionality as well. The current plan is to move all that functionality to the open-source Copilot Chat extension (as step 2). Timeline – next couple of months.
[…] See the engineering plan here
Chat is compatible [with ollama]!
See https://code.visualstudio.com/docs/copilot/language-models#_bring-your-own-language-model-key
Suggestions are not yet compatible – if you want that, we have a feature request that you can upvote. I do want us to add this https://github.com/microsoft/vscode-copilot-release/issues/7690
Microsoft made a flurry of announcements at its Build 2025 conference regarding future products and improvements on current products. The TypeScript team has announced an experimental native port of the TypeScript compiler (tsc), aimed at providing a 10x improvement in build time, drastically reducing cold editor startup times, and substantially improving memory usage. Microsoft has announced Edit, a new open-source command-line text editor, which will be distributed in the future as part of Windows 11. Edit aims to provide a lightweight, native, modern command-line editing experience similar to Nano and Vim.